Aberbargoed Buds vs Ton Pentre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
42.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberbargoed Buds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
RIS
5 - 0
ABE
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
LID
2 - 1
ABE
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -3 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 2
CAM
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAE
16%
17%
67%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 0
ABE
50%
22%
29%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Ton Pentre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TON
0 - 1
GOY
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
GAR
2 - 1
TON
15%
19%
66%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
TON
2 - 1
PEN
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 1
TON
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TON
2 - 2
BAR
19%
24%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |