Abejar vs San Esteban analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
71%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ARC
2 - 2
ABE
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
4 - 6
LAN
8%
15%
78%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COV
1 - 1
ABE
40%
24%
37%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 1
CAS
30%
22%
48%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
GOL
4 - 0
ABE
91%
7%
2%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
EST
0 - 1
TAR
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
QUI
1 - 0
EST
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
EST
2 - 0
CDC
44%
22%
35%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
EST
48%
22%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAV
2 - 1
EST
6%
12%
82%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |