Abejar vs Covaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
35.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-73%
+267%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abejar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 3
ABE
65%
19%
16%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 5
GOL
12%
17%
70%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VIS
4 - 3
ABE
52%
22%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PAL
9 - 0
ABE
92%
7%
2%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 2
COL
9%
18%
74%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TAR
5 - 0
COV
76%
15%
9%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 1
COV
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
COV
1 - 1
CDC
10%
14%
76%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
COV
50%
22%
28%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
COV
2 - 2
CDC
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +1 |