ABC vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
58.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 1
ASS
80%
15%
5%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
12%
20%
68%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
ABC
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ARN
3 - 0
ABC
21%
22%
56%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 2
MOT
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 2
FLU
88%
10%
3%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 2
VIT
14%
19%
67%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 3
BOT
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 2
ALA
88%
10%
3%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | -1 |