ABC vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
PAL
2 - 1
ABC
8%
15%
77%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
ABC
1 - 0
GLO
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ABC
0 - 1
ATL
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 0
ABC
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
REM
1 - 0
ABC
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
BRA
30%
26%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 1
SER
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
ASA
2 - 4
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |