ABC vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 4
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 0
POT
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 0
ALE
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ABC
5 - 2
GLO
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 0
BOA
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
GLO
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAL
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
POT
4 - 3
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARN
4 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | 0 |