ABC vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
ARN
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
ABC
4 - 1
DES
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
ABC
4 - 1
COR
74%
17%
10%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 0
ABC
20%
24%
56%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COR
1 - 2
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
POT
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
ARN
11%
20%
69%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALE
40%
27%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |