ABC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
ABC
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 3
SCI
15%
27%
58%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
ABC
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
CEA
27%
27%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
OES
1 - 1
ABC
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
CRB
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
CRI
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 1
SAN
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAY
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |