ABC vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
ABC
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 1
ABC
64%
23%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 1
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 2
ABC
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 0
BOA
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2014 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAM
77%
17%
6%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
PAL
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 2
OES
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ICA
0 - 3
SAM
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 2
PAR
24%
27%
50%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |