ABC vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 1
ABC
10%
17%
73%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
ABC
4 - 2
FEL
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ABC
2 - 0
GLO
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 1
ABC
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
GLO
0 - 2
ABC
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
POT
2 - 1
GLO
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 0
POT
34%
25%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
POT
0 - 1
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
POT
0 - 2
ARN
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
POT
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |