ABC vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
FER
1 - 3
ABC
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
ABC
13%
21%
66%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
ABC
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 0
OES
28%
29%
44%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 0
ABC
52%
27%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
POT
1 - 4
ASS
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
POT
48%
24%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
POT
1 - 2
GUA
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
POT
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
POT
0 - 2
RIV
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |