ABC vs Palmeira Goianinha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 0
ALE
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 0
ABC
16%
20%
64%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ABC
1 - 1
GLO
83%
12%
6%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
ABC
13%
19%
67%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeira Goianinha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GLO
3 - 0
PAL
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 2
ALE
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
PAL
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
GLO
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
ABC
13%
19%
67%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | +1 |