ABC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 1
ABC
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 3
CRB
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
GOI
1 - 2
ABC
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 0
ABC
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRB
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 3
GOI
29%
28%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 1
NAU
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |