ABC vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ASA
4 - 3
ABC
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 2
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
BOA
0 - 0
ABC
26%
27%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ABC
3 - 0
DUQ
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
ABC
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
ICA
2 - 0
BRA
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
ICA
0 - 1
CRI
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 1
ICA
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
ICA
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ICA
1 - 2
NAU
36%
26%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |