Potiguar Final
Global 1-0
ABC vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
POT
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
POT
0 - 4
ABC
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
ALE
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
POT
3 - 2
ABC
19%
24%
58%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 1
GLO
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 1
ASS
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GLO
3 - 0
POT
56%
24%
21%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |