ABC vs Globo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 2
ABC
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
ALE
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
POT
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
ABC
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Globo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 1
GLO
32%
25%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
2 - 1
ARN
19%
21%
61%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
GLO
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 4
GLO
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
4 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |