Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-2
ABC vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ABC
0 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
ABC
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 1
ABC
28%
27%
46%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ABC
2 - 0
SAL
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 1
ABC
28%
27%
46%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
ARN
3 - 2
GAM
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 0
ARN
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 1
PAY
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 0
GAM
69%
19%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |