ABC vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
ABC
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 3
FFL
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
PPE
2 - 0
ABC
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
ATP
3 - 1
ABC
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ABC
0 - 1
ACD
68%
19%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 3
BRA
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 4
GUA
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 3
FLA
23%
25%
52%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |