Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
ABC vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
53.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
ABC
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
AVA
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OES
1 - 0
ABC
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 0
ABC
81%
14%
6%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 0
ABC
36%
29%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 0
CRZ
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
CRZ
0 - 1
COR
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SCI
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 0
ABC
81%
14%
6%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
CRZ
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | -1 |