ABC vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
54.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
AQU
0 - 1
ABC
18%
23%
60%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ABC
2 - 1
ARN
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 5
ABC
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
ABC
34%
25%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 4
ABC
34%
25%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 1
CEA
4%
11%
85%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 1
FER
78%
16%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
AFP
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |