ABC vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
ABC
0 - 1
FLA
3%
12%
86%
|
53 | 90 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 1
ABC
11%
20%
68%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
6 - 0
ABC
91%
7%
2%
|
54 | 90 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
CAM
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 1
ABC
26%
27%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 0
SOU
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
3 - 1
CAU
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
0 - 4
TRE
25%
26%
50%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -3 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
7 - 0
CAU
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
3 - 2
ABC
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | +1 |