ABC vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
ABC
1 - 1
ASS
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
ABC
18%
25%
58%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ABC
0 - 1
ALE
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARN
0 - 2
ABC
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
GLO
3 - 1
ABC
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
BOT
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 4
CAM
21%
26%
53%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ECP
0 - 2
CAM
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
CSP
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
OPE
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |