ABC vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
ABC
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 2
GRÊ
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 0
ABC
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
ICA
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
BRA
50%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
GOI
2 - 1
BRA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
5 - 3
SAL
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
DUQ
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |