ABC vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
ABC
57%
24%
18%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
ABC
1 - 0
POT
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ABC
2 - 2
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
ABC
1 - 0
BAR
87%
11%
3%
|
68 | 29 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POT
2 - 3
ABC
12%
20%
68%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
SDJ
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 1
BOT
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
BOT
24%
27%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 1
CSP
82%
13%
6%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
5 - 1
SPC
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |