Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-0
ABC vs Boavista SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 3
ABC
15%
25%
60%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABC
17%
26%
57%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 1
ABC
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 1
ARN
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
POT
0 - 0
ABC
19%
26%
55%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
3 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAN
4 - 2
BOA
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 1
ABC
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BOA
0 - 0
VOL
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |