Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 3-2
ABC vs Barras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 3
ABC
16%
21%
63%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
ABC
18%
22%
61%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
ABC
4 - 0
ASS
74%
17%
10%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ARN
0 - 1
ABC
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 4
ABC
16%
21%
63%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Barras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
ABC
18%
22%
61%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
CAC
3 - 2
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAC
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
4DE
0 - 2
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
PIC
1 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |