ABC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
ASS
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 3
ABC
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
CSA
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ABC
4 - 1
ARN
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
19%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
POT
44%
27%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
ALE
50%
26%
24%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 0
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |