ABC vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ABC
4 - 0
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 4
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 0
POT
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 0
ALE
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ABC
5 - 2
GLO
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 1
ALE
35%
28%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
ARN
4 - 1
BAR
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GLO
2 - 1
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
BAR
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |