ABC vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ABC
2 - 0
ACD
77%
15%
9%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ASS
2 - 3
ABC
11%
19%
71%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 3
ABC
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 2
ARN
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
ABC
3 - 0
POT
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ARN
3 - 1
FEL
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ARN
3 - 1
POT
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
FEL
0 - 0
ARN
21%
23%
56%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ABC
1 - 2
ARN
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 0
GLO
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |