ABC vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
ABC
16%
22%
62%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
POT
1 - 0
ABC
15%
21%
65%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
ABC
0 - 0
PAL
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FEL
1 - 6
ABC
17%
20%
63%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
GLO
1 - 2
ABC
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 0
PAL
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ARN
3 - 2
GLO
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 4
ARN
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
ARN
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
FEL
2 - 2
ARN
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |