ABC vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
ABC
4 - 1
DES
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GLO
0 - 1
ABC
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
ABC
4 - 1
COR
74%
17%
10%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 0
ABC
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
ABC
3 - 0
BAR
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 2
ARN
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
ARN
11%
20%
69%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
GLO
76%
15%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
CEA
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |