ABC vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 0
ABC
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
VAS
22%
24%
55%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
ABC
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
ABC
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 1
OES
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 0
ARN
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 0
ARN
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 3
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 0
ATP
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |