ABC vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
45.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 0
ABC
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
LON
3 - 1
ABC
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
NAU
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
GUA
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 1
ABC
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
AMF
0 - 0
GUA
58%
25%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
AMF
2 - 0
BOA
62%
24%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 1
AMF
36%
31%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
AMF
3 - 0
BRA
57%
26%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
LUV
0 - 3
AMF
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |