ABC vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 1
CRB
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
ABC
2 - 0
CON
68%
18%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
BAH
3 - 1
ABC
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
ABC
1 - 0
CRB
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
TRE
3 - 1
ABC
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
ALE
1 - 0
CAM
28%
27%
46%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 2
ALE
59%
23%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 2
ALE
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
ALE
0 - 1
ABC
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ALE
3 - 2
ACD
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |