Aarhus Fremad vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
4º
34
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
65 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 6 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 6 |
6º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
AKA
0 - 3
AAF
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
ROS
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
4 - 1
AAF
70%
18%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 0
BRA
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SKI
1 - 3
AAF
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
THI
0 - 0
B93
23%
23%
53%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
THI
0 - 0
SKI
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 1
THI
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
THI
1 - 0
ESB
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
JAM
0 - 3
THI
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |