Aarhus Fremad vs Skive analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
8º
1º
15
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
16 | 46 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 40 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
17 | 36 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 35 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
3º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 30 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 29 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 29 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 28 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 21 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 58% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 42% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 1
FRE
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
THI
0 - 2
AAF
13%
20%
67%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
HEL
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
2 - 1
AAF
16%
18%
66%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 1
FCH
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Skive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
5 - 0
FCH
38%
23%
39%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 2
SKI
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
4 - 0
LFA
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FCH
0 - 1
SKI
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
GFD
0 - 5
SKI
10%
16%
75%
|
51 | 6 | 45 | 0 |