Aarhus Fremad vs Nykøbing FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
3º
33
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 1
AAF
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 1
SKI
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ESB
2 - 2
AAF
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
AAF
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
THI
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
LFA
1 - 0
FA2
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
AKA
2 - 3
LFA
46%
24%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 0
LFA
57%
22%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LFA
2 - 3
SKI
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LFA
1 - 0
HEL
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |