Aarhus Fremad vs Nykøbing FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
2º
1º
40
6º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
59 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
72 | 16 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MID
0 - 2
AAF
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AAF
5 - 0
LFA
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 1
AAF
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
AAF
0 - 1
SKI
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ESB
2 - 2
AAF
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 5
ROS
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AAF
5 - 0
LFA
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
LFA
1 - 0
FA2
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
AKA
2 - 3
LFA
46%
24%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 0
LFA
57%
22%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |