Aarhus Fremad vs Holbæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
AAF
1 - 1
NAS
75%
16%
10%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
SYD
1 - 1
AAF
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ESB
2 - 0
AAF
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
VFF
4 - 2
AAF
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VEJ
3 - 1
AAF
67%
18%
15%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
HOL
0 - 2
SKI
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
B93
6 - 2
HOL
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 3
SLA
81%
12%
6%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HVI
3 - 1
HOL
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 1
KFU
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |