Aarhus Fremad vs Hellerup IK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
2º
24
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AKA
2 - 2
AAF
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 2
SKI
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 0
JAM
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
B93
1 - 0
AAF
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AAF
1 - 1
KOL
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hellerup IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HEL
2 - 2
KOL
20%
25%
55%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
THI
3 - 0
HEL
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 2
HEL
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HEL
1 - 2
SKI
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ESB
4 - 0
HEL
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |