Aarhus Fremad vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
HEL
1 - 5
AAF
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 2
AAF
24%
26%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
AAF
5 - 0
BRØ
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
AAF
1 - 0
FCH
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
VAN
1 - 1
AAF
31%
28%
42%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2020 |
FRE
0 - 1
JAM
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
FRE
4 - 2
MID
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2020 |
THI
3 - 2
FRE
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
AKA
2 - 2
FRE
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
FRE
1 - 2
BRA
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |