Aarhus Fremad vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
AAF
0 - 2
BFR
33%
26%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
AAF
36%
24%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AAF
1 - 1
LFA
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HEL
1 - 2
AAF
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AAF
1 - 0
BRØ
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
BRØ
2 - 0
FRE
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 0
HEL
56%
23%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
THI
3 - 1
FRE
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 1
AKA
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MID
2 - 0
FRE
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |