Aarhus Fremad vs FC Helsingør analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
8º
1º
10
1º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
16 | 46 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 40 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
17 | 36 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 35 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 30 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 29 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 29 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 28 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 28 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 21 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 74.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AKA
3 - 2
AAF
28%
24%
49%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 0
NAE
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MID
3 - 1
AAF
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
VAT
0 - 2
AAF
4%
9%
88%
|
64 | 24 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AAF
3 - 1
IIF
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Helsingør
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCH
2 - 0
THI
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AKA
2 - 0
FCH
51%
23%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NAE
2 - 1
FCH
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ABT
1 - 3
FCH
6%
12%
81%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FCH
4 - 0
LFA
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |