Aarhus Fremad vs B93 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
2º
50
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
4 - 0
BIF
17%
21%
62%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 1
HEL
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AKA
2 - 2
AAF
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 2
SKI
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 0
JAM
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
B93
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
B93
2 - 2
ESB
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 2
B93
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
B93
4 - 0
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AKA
3 - 1
B93
34%
24%
42%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
B93
1 - 0
AAF
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |