Aarhus Fremad vs Akademisk Boldklub analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
63
1º
4º
4º
48
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
65 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 6 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 6 |
6º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
AAF
20%
23%
56%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 3
KOL
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 2
B93
46%
24%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 1
AAF
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 3
ESB
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Akademisk Boldklub
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
AKA
1 - 3
KOL
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
B93
3 - 3
AKA
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
AKA
1 - 1
ESB
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
THI
2 - 1
AKA
27%
25%
47%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AKA
2 - 2
THI
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |