Aarhus Fremad vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AAF
2 - 0
SOL
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
THI
0 - 3
AAF
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SVE
0 - 0
AAF
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AAF
4 - 1
OTB
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
RIN
1 - 2
AAF
22%
20%
58%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
AGF
2 - 2
SON
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
AGF
3 - 2
MID
32%
27%
42%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 4
AGF
13%
19%
68%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SIF
0 - 4
AGF
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 4
AGF
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |