Aarau II vs Subingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
RSZ
0 - 0
AAR
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AAR
4 - 1
KUS
55%
21%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LAN
5 - 2
AAR
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AAR
1 - 3
FCT
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 4
AAR
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Subingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SUB
0 - 4
KOS
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCW
1 - 2
SUB
84%
12%
4%
|
12 | 55 | 43 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RSZ
2 - 2
SUB
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SUB
3 - 3
KUS
11%
16%
73%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LAN
1 - 0
SUB
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 36 | 26 | 0 |