Aarau II vs Seefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RSZ
3 - 1
AAR
34%
23%
42%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MUT
0 - 2
AAR
24%
21%
54%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
AAR
1 - 3
LIE
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
KRU
1 - 2
AAR
14%
17%
69%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
AAR
0 - 2
DOR
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Seefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SEE
1 - 3
MUT
75%
16%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LIE
1 - 3
SEE
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SEE
0 - 0
KRU
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
DOR
0 - 0
SEE
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SEE
2 - 0
BIN
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |