Aarau II vs Rothrist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
DUL
2 - 0
AAR
20%
21%
60%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AAR
1 - 2
PAJ
60%
19%
21%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
WOH
1 - 4
AAR
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BIB
1 - 0
AAR
10%
14%
76%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -3 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AAR
1 - 2
BST
84%
10%
6%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rothrist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ROT
2 - 2
BST
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
ROT
0 - 2
OLT
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ZOF
2 - 1
ROT
89%
8%
4%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ROT
3 - 2
DIE
19%
18%
63%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
WAN
0 - 4
ROT
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |