Aarau II vs Pajde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
WOH
1 - 4
AAR
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BIB
1 - 0
AAR
10%
14%
76%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -3 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AAR
1 - 2
BST
84%
10%
6%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ZOF
3 - 0
AAR
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DIE
1 - 2
AAR
42%
22%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Pajde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PAJ
4 - 2
BST
74%
16%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ZOF
1 - 0
PAJ
71%
16%
13%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
PAJ
2 - 0
DIE
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
OLT
2 - 2
PAJ
21%
21%
58%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
PAJ
2 - 3
WAN
70%
16%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -2 |